مجال
التميز
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تميز دراسي وبحثي
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البحوث المنشورة
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البحث (1):
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عنوان البحث:
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Economic diversification in resource rich
countries: History, state of knowledge and research agenda
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رابط إلى البحث:
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Click
Here
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تاريخ النشر:
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28 February
2017
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موجز عن البحث:
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Is
economic diversification desirable for a resource rich country? Our knowledge
on this issue is at best partial. This paper revisits the literature on
diversification in resource rich states. It maps the history of
diversification, identifies gaps in the literature and documents some trends
in the data. In particular, it exposes limitations in the data and catalogues
trends in non-oil exports and non-oil private sector employment. It concludes
with an agenda for research.
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المؤتمرات العلمية:
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المؤتمر (1):
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عنوان المؤتمر:
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The Annual International Conference of the
Research Group on Development Economics of the German Economic Association
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تاريخ الإنعقاد:
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12-13 June
2015
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مكان
الإنعقاد:
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Kiel, Germany
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طبيعة المشاركة:
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Oral Presentation
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عنوان المشاركة:
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Natural Resources and Economic
Diversification
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ملخص المشاركة:
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Do
natural resources lead to more diversified economies? This paper adds to the
Dutch Disease literature by examining the effect of natural resource rents on
structural change and export diversification, covering 136 countries from
1962-2012. The data covers resource and non-resource sectors, and value
added. Results show that resource rents decreased the diversification in all
sectors. However, the results are heterogeneous across different country
groups and resources.
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المؤتمر (2):
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عنوان المؤتمر:
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Gulf Research Meeting 2015
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تاريخ الإنعقاد:
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24-27
August 2015
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مكان
الإنعقاد:
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Cambridge, UK
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طبيعة المشاركة:
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Oral Presentation
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عنوان المشاركة:
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Natural Resources and Economic Diversification:
Evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries
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ملخص المشاركة:
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Can
resource-rich countries diversify their economies? This chapter examines the
impact of natural resource rents on diversification in exports, in employment
and in value added, covering up to 136 countries from 1962-2012. We find a
significant negative relationship between resource rents and diversification.
The results are heterogeneous across different country groups and resources;
the countries of the Arab Gulf are not an exception as they follow the high
resource dependent group. Moreover, we find that the higher resource
dependency the less likely the country would go into diversification through
its development, compared to less resource dependent countries where diversification
takes a U-shaped path noted by Imbs and Wacziarg (2003). Instead,
concentration grows rapidly.
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المؤتمر (3):
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عنوان المؤتمر:
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The 2016 CSAE conference ‘Economic
Development in Africa’
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تاريخ الإنعقاد:
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20 – 22
March 2016
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مكان
الإنعقاد:
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Oxford, UK
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طبيعة المشاركة:
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Oral Presentation
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عنوان المشاركة:
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Economic
Diversification in Oil Countries: New
Evidence on the Role of Institutional
Quality
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ملخص المشاركة:
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This
paper evaluates the impact of giant oil discoveries on economic
diversification: in exports, in employment and in added value. The resource
curse literature shows that resource countries could go through the Dutch
disease where concentration shifts from tradable to non-tradable sectors.
Using panel fixed effects estimation and resource discoveries in 136
countries since 1962, we find a negative impact on diversification in exports
and manufacturing employment and its added value. Results are also affected
by the level of institutional quality, although we do not find any evidence
that export concentration is affected by the government types. We further
test the impact of giant oil discoveries on non-resource GDP, aiming to see
if the concentration is mirrored with higher output. We find that both
manufacturing and services GDP are negatively affected by the resource
discoveries, the negative impact is higher in autocracies than it is in
democracies.
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المؤتمر (4):
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عنوان المؤتمر:
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The 2017 CSAE conference ‘Economic
Development in Africa’
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تاريخ الإنعقاد:
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19 – 21
March 2017
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مكان
الإنعقاد:
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Oxford, UK
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طبيعة المشاركة:
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Oral Presentation
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عنوان المشاركة:
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Oil
Booms, Dutch Disease and Manufacturing
Growth
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ملخص المشاركة:
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This
paper estimates the causal effect of two commodity shocks suggested by the
Dutch Disease hypothesis on the tradable manufacturing sector: giant oil
discoveries as a resource discovery shock, and oil price boom and bust as a
commodity price shock. Using panel analysis, we compare between countries
that have discovered giant oilfields to countries that have not during
1962-2008. Recent literature on the Dutch Disease indicates a positive impact
of oil booms on manufacturing. Our results suggest that the total
manufacturing could benefit from oil shocks, through increased local demand
for manufactured goods resulting from the revenue windfall that was met by
increased demand on imports and local production. However, the main
suggestion of these results is that tradable industries in manufacturing are
harmed by the oil shocks in terms of growth of value added and wages.
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