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There is an international consensus on
the climate change in the entire world and this is as a result of the
combination of the natural factors, such as volcanoes and hurricanes with
increased of human activity on the earth, such as industrial renaissance.
Where this solidarity increases emissions of greenhouse gases GHGs that
considered as the main driver of climate change scenarios and related
emerging risks and impacts on buildings. These climatic risks including
damages, disruption and disquiet are set to increase and it is considered as
the main challenges and difficulties facing built environment due to major
implications on assets sector. Consequently, the threat from climate change
patterns has a significant impact on a variety of complex human decisions,
which affect all aspects of living. Understanding the relationship between
buildings and such risks arising from climate change scenarios on buildings
are the key in insuring the optimal timing and design of policies and
systems, which affect all aspects of the built environment. This paper will uncover
this correlation between emerging climate change risks and the building
assets. In addition, how these emerging risks can be classified in practical
way in terms of their impact type on buildings. Hence, this mapping will
assist professionals and interested parties in the building sector to cope
with such risks in several systematic ways including development and
designing of mitigation and adaptation strategies and processes of design,
specification, construction and operation; all these leads to successful
management of assets.
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ملخص المشاركة:
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There
is an international consensus on the climate change in the entire world and
this is as a result of the combination of the natural factors, such as
volcanoes and hurricanes with increased of human activity on the earth, such
as industrial renaissance. Where this solidarity increases emissions of
greenhouse gases GHGs that considered as the main driver of climate change
scenarios and related emerging risks and impacts on buildings. These climatic
risks including damages, disruption and disquiet are set to increase and it
is considered as the main challenges and difficulties facing built
environment due to major implications on assets sector. Consequently, the
threat from climate change patterns has a significant impact on a variety of
complex human decisions, which affect all aspects of living. Understanding
the relationship between buildings and such risks arising from climate change
scenarios on buildings are the key in insuring the optimal timing and design
of policies and systems, which affect all aspects of the built environment.
This paper will uncover this correlation between emerging climate change
risks and the building assets. In addition, how these emerging risks can be
classified in practical way in terms of their impact type on buildings. Hence,
this mapping will assist professionals and interested parties in the building
sector to cope with such risks in several systematic ways including
development and designing of mitigation and adaptation strategies and
processes of design, specification, construction and operation; all these
leads to successful management of assets.
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ملخص المشاركة:
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Climate
change will have a huge impact on a variety of complex human decisions that
affect both social systems and human-made networks. Understanding how and
when climate change related information is formed and disseminated and
consumed is the key for the optimal timing and design of policies, systems
and procedures that affect all aspects of everyday life. Although climate
change decisions may be individually simple, collective behaviour may well be
complex. Understanding the separate and collective effects of the climate
change and the impact they have on decisions is essential for the design and
optimal timing of policies, systems and procedures across a variety of
problems in: civil protection, transportation, energy, environmental policy,
production management, sports, tourism, commerce, military operations,
agriculture, aviation, construction absenteeism and pollution control.
Overall, the climate changes will have a significant influence at the level
of the economy, the society and the individual wellbeing. A significant body
of research has been concerned with studying the close interrelations between
human behaviour, decision making, weather and climate. Psychologists and
sociologists have been documenting strong correlations between weather and behaviour,
emotions and mood for decades. A wide variety of climate change behaviour can
be found across the spectrum of science, industry and everyday life.
Behavioural implications range from energy (e.g., load forecasting, service
restoration), civil protection (hurricane and winter storm warnings; flood
protection), terrorist threat analysis (projections of airborne
concentrations of chemical gases), military (combat and logistics), aviation,
tourism, sports and leisure, surface transportation (traffic), shipping
(routing), health issues (pollution, mosquito control), environment (Kyoto
protocol), wildfire management and insurance.
The
objective of this research is to study and analyse climate change related
behaviour problems under risk scenarios. The project will focus on studying
building users behaviour in the context of users responses to emerging risks.
The study is set to answer “what are the socio-economic risk drivers behind
the choice of building users responses to climate risks”. The problems will
be studied conceptually, qualitatively but also using simulations and actual
empirical data. Climate change risks and social system behaviour will be
modelled using new and existing dynamic social network tools from the
complexity theory.
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